Retire Beyond the Cycle

Discover strategic insights on tackling inflation, market timing, and college vs. retirement trade-offs to secure your financial future.

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In today’s Finance Pulse, gain insight into how:

  • Inflation and demographic shifts are reshaping retirement planning, and why creating a diversified "Plan B" is more important than ever.

  • Understanding market timing and sequence-of-returns risk can help protect your retirement, no matter the cycle you retire into.

  • High-income families can balance rising college costs and retirement security with strategic, tax-savvy planning to avoid long-term financial disruptions.

Each of these articles is penned by members of Forbes Finance Council, key luminaries shaping the future of finance.

Rethinking Retirement: Inflation & Demographic Shifts

As inflation and demographic trends reshape the retirement landscape, securing your financial future requires proactive action.

Here’s the breakdown:

🌟 Retirement Crisis Deepens: Inflation has pushed the “comfortably retired” benchmark from $1 million to $1.5 million in just four years. Meanwhile, 59% of Americans are one emergency away from financial distress.

📉 The Fiat System's Role: Shifts since the 1971 end of the gold standard allow for unrestricted money printing, further eroding purchasing power and driving up retirement costs.

👵 Demographics Reshaping Social Security: With fewer workers supporting retirees (2.7 workers per retiree vs. 5 in 1960), Social Security’s trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2034.

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The Market Doesn’t Owe You A Retirement

Retiring into the “wrong” market cycle can make or break your plans. With long stretches of bull and bear markets behind us, the timing of retirement affects outcomes far more than most realize, a challenge known as sequence-of-returns risk. Even retirees with the same average returns can face wildly different realities depending on when they start withdrawing.

To safeguard your retirement from unpredictable markets:

🏠 Secure a Financial Floor: Rely on Social Security, annuities, or bond ladders for essentials to ease reliance on investments during volatile periods.

⚖️ Consistently Rebalance: Maintain diversification and rebalance annually to avoid overexposure to any one asset class.

📉 Adjust Spending Dynamically: Flex withdrawals up in strong years or scale back during downturns with a guardrails approach.

📈 Design Your Glide Path: Begin retirement conservatively and increase stock exposure over time to counter early shocks.

College vs. Retirement: Smarter Trade-Offs for High-Income Families

High-income families often face a complex dilemma: funding their children’s education or prioritizing retirement security. With college costs rising faster than inflation and retirement savings benchmarks often unmet, careful planning is critical to avoid derailing long-term financial goals.

Here’s all you need to know:

💸 Rising College Costs: Tuition, fees, and living expenses now average $28K annually for in-state public schools and $60K for private colleges, with no signs of slowing.

🏦 Retirement > College: Loans are available for education, but there are no loans for retirement. A depleted retirement account can’t be replenished easily.

🏡 Parental Pressures: Many high-income parents feel obligated to cover tuition but underestimate additional costs like graduate school or living expenses.

Smart Funding Strategies:

  • Leverage state 529 plans for tax savings and strategic withdrawals.

  • Align college funding with your retirement plan to minimize opportunity costs.

  • Have transparent conversations about funding limits and graduate school plans.

Wrapping Up

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